The state of the State

Why don't people vote?

SEVENTY MILLION Americans who could decide the outcome of the November presidential election do not plan to vote, according to the findings of a survey reported in early September. This includes 60 million who have never voted and 10 million who have voted in the past but now have become political dropouts.

Remember the bumper sticker, "Don't vote — it only encourages them"? These Americans are taking it seriously.

The survey covered 1,486 non voters in 200 separate neighborhoods in 42 states and the District of Columbia. They were interviewed in late July by Peter D. Hart Research Associates of Washington, D.C., on behalf of the Committee for the Study of the American Electorate.

Half of those interviewed said, "I just don't bother with politics." Their reasons? "Candidates say one thing and do another" (68 per cent). "It doesn't make much difference who is elected" (55 per cent). "Watergate proved that elected officials are only out for themselves" (52 per cent). Only a small minority mentioned such practical reasons as not being able to get to the polls (18 per cent) or the difficulty of registering to vote (12 per cent).
Fewer than 50 per cent of the people eligible to vote will take part in the November election if the intentions reported in July hold up until November. Perhaps the TV debates between Ford and Carter will change that. But if they do not, a downward trend in voting will continue:

1960 64%
1964 62%
1968 61%
1972 56%

The above are percentages of those voting for president compared to all citizens of voting age. Part of the decline in 1972 may be explained by the drop in the voting age from 21 to 18, but this does not account for all of the change.
Examination of Illinois voting statistics shows that the same trend has been taking place in this state, except that voting participation is about 10 percentage points higher here than in the United States as a whole. The percentage in Illinois of those who voted for president and for governor compared to all eligible voters in the state shows about 1 per cent of those voting cast their ballots for president but not for governor. In 1972, the difference was 7/10 of 1 per cent, but when rounded to a full percentage the statistics show no difference.
President Governor
1960 76% 75%
1964 73% 72%
1968 69% 68%
1972 63% 63%

Voting participation in this country looks pretty bad when we compare it with the record in the national elections of other western democracies, as reported in the Christian Science Monitor:
97% Australia (1972)
93% Italy (1972)
91% West Germany (1972)
83% Holland (1972)
82% France (1973)
74% Canada (1972)
71% Great Britain (1970)

Is compulsory voting the answer? In Australia, there is a fine (about $15, according to the Australian consulate spokesman in Chicago), if you fail to vote and don't have a satisfactory excuse. That accounts for the 97 per cent turnout.

In a democracy, a nation led by the will of the people, a declining voting trend should be a source of concern, and compulsory voting is not necessarily the answer. It may only suppress the feelings of those who are "turned off by the political system. When this happens, they may express their feelings by acts of violence — as was the case in this country a few years ago.

On the other hand, people who fail to vote are not necessarily dissatisfied with the system — even though their excuse is, as quoted above, "1 just don't bother with politics." Failure to vote may be a negative way of saying that existing conditions are satisfactory, or at least not bad enough to stir up a protest.

Still another explanation of non-voting may be that the candidates do not offer sufficient choice to bring out people to the polls. In Italy, for example, where the Communist party is active, undoubtedly voting participation is high because people are voting for or against Communism. In England, Canada and the United States, there is no threat of a Communist party winning at the polls, and this threat does not rouse voters who are complacent and stay at home.

Yet the dissatisfaction expressed in the survey with political leadership cannot be dismissed. Eighty-seven per cent of those in the survey agreed with this statement: "What this country needs most, more than laws and political programs, is a few courageous, tireless, devoted leaders in whom people can put their trust."

Our two-party system and our checks and balances in government make leadership difficult. Legislatures and executives are often at odds. The two Republican presidents since 1968 have had to deal with a Democratic Congress. In Illinois, although Gov. Dan Walker has had a Democratic legislature, it might as well have been an opposition party because it was largely controlled by the Daley Democrats in Chicago who are Walker's opponents in his own party. How can a leader lead when his opponents control the law-making branch? Or, to turn it around, where can the law-making branch look for leadership when the executive is the leader of the other party?

The fact is that one of the most difficult tasks in the world is to provide strong leadership in a democracy. When people cast their ballots for a candidate they believe will be a strong governor or president, they are often going to be disappointed because the legislative branch will be controlled by the other party. That awareness seems to be missing./ W.L.D. 

November 1976 / Illinois Issues / 25


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