Hunting Forecasts for Fall

Illinois hunters can anticipate one of the best seasons in recent memory for most game species this fall, according to wildlife biologists from the Department of Conservation.

Improved habitat conditions — attributable in part to the Conservation Reserve Program and other conservation programs — are starting to pay off with rebounding wildlife populations. Equally important, last year's mild winter, followed by a relatively dry, pleasant spring, boosted reproduction efforts for many of Illinois' most popular game species. By the same token, wet weather in the north-central states and parts of Canada ensured a successful nesting season for waterfowl.

The big news this year is that the duck hunting season is expected to be the best in more than a decade due to a highly successful nesting season on the breeding grounds of prairie Canada and north-central United States. Goose hunters expect to have a season that matches or tops last year's outstanding hunt.

Deer hunting, of course, is expected to be excellent as the adaptable whitetail continues to thrive in virtually all areas of the state. Likewise, hunting for the wily wild turkey is predicted to be very good.

Predictions for the coming season are based on population census data which measures population trends (not actual numbers) for game species. That information, combined with data on weather conditions, habitat conditions and past hunting seasons help wildlife managers make predictions about the coming season.

This year's projections will be compared with actual hunter harvest surveys after the season to determine whether changes are needed in management strategies for any particular species.

Good hunting depends upon a variety of factors that go beyond population levels. Weather conditions during the season, plus the availability of habitat and cover, can profoundly affect hunter success. Likewise, a hunter's skill and expertise in the field are critical factors. Hunters who take the time to learn about the habitats of the animals they pursue and who ensure their weapons are in good condition before the season will stand a better chance of success afield.

As one might expect, the business of projecting hunting prospects is an inexact science. Variables such as weather conditions during the season or unexpectedly low hunter participation could change everything. Likewise, exceptionally good hunting weather could result in a better hunting season than wildlife managers currently foresee.

Hunting season projections reflect current conditions statewide. Hunting success within a specific area may fall short of expectations because of habitat conditions or isolated weather events, while other areas may produce better hunting than statewide averages would project.

Detailed hunting prospects are published in the September issue of Outdoor lllinois. To purchase a copy of this publication, please contact the Illinois Department of Conservation, (217) 782-7454.*

52* Illinois Parks & Recreation * September/October 1994